The Alberta Sovereignty Crisis: Populism, Parallel Governance, and the Erosion of the Canadian State
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The Alberta Sovereignty Crisis: Populism, Parallel Governance, and the Erosion of the Canadian State
Abstract:
This paper analyzes the ideological foundations and political implications of Alberta’s emerging sovereignty and independence movements, focusing on the Free Alberta Strategy and the Alberta Prosperity Project’s Value of Freedom manifesto. It situates these documents within a broader transnational pattern of anti-federalist and anti-establishment politics, paralleling U.S. initiatives such as Project 2025, and explores how populist grievance, disinformation, and parallel-institution strategies threaten the integrity of Canada’s democratic and constitutional order. Drawing from counter-insurgency doctrine and influence-operations research, the paper argues that Alberta’s sovereignty agenda constitutes an early-stage legitimacy war that could fracture Canadian unity if left unchecked. Recommendations are provided for policymakers, academics, and civil society actors to strengthen democratic resilience, counter disinformation, and address the underlying grievances fueling separatist sentiment.
